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TradeLean / EDUCATIONAL METHOD NOTE

Building conditional market scenarios

Pivot-point analysis, historical comparisons and the conditions behind forward-looking scenarios.

Editorial draft · No empirical performance claim

State the observation

I begin with the completed candles and the pivot zones I can verify. I separate what I can already see from the next path I am considering.

Define the primary condition

Use if–then language. Explain what needs to happen before the scenario gains support and what would contradict it.

Keep an alternative

A second path helps identify uncertainty. It should follow from a different observable condition rather than being a vague opposite prediction.

Avoid false precision

An exact target or timeline needs evidence. Use the detail justified by the method and make clear where extrapolation begins.

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Pivot-point roadmaps, research notes and perspectives on the conditions shaping markets.